Extended forecasts show a swell in the air for the first few days of Olympic surfing

And there is consistency between what the European and American models indicate, the big question is whether it will be surfable.


Photo from Surfline's extended forecast.

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Both the European wave forecast model developed by MagicSeaWeed and the American one, developed by Surfline, agree that a significant swell will be arriving just in time for the start of the wave waiting period for the Olympic surfing event, on July 25, 2021.

The forecast predicts waves of between 3 and 5 metres but with strong onshore winds, southeast swell and east-northeast winds. On Sunday 25th there will be up to 14 seconds of swell.

The differences in the models occur in the arrival of the swell, for MagicSeaWeed the entry occurs on the 24th and for Surfline during the 25th. What does not differ between the two models is the size, direction and intensity of the wind.

Everything indicates that the conditions for those days will be stormy, with rain and thunderstorms.

It was not until the 29th that the weather conditions improved, the sun came out and there were gentle winds and waves of between one and one and a half metres with a period of 10 seconds.

Clearly the big question is whether that first swell will be surfable.

On the other hand, a team leader informed DUKE that the locals warned about the incoming typhoon swell and even put longer boards at the disposal if they ever need them.

It is also worth noting that we are 10 days away from the 25th, the further away in time the less accurate the forecast is. But, as announced a few days ago, there is activity, there is.