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Surfing forecasting website Surfline has already predicted, three weeks before the start of Olympic surfing on July 27, that there is no indication that there will be a swell during the tournament window, which runs until August 5.

They do anticipate that there are signs that a very westerly swell could occur in late July and early August: “One interesting sign we’ve seen across the various models is that of an area of ​​lower than normal pressure located over and just northeast of New Zealand in late July. So we’ll be on the lookout for a mid-period, more westerly swell at some point in the middle part of the event window. Who knows, maybe we’ll see someone surfing an elusive right at Teahupo’o!” they explain.

According to them, the much talked about swell, which is on its way and will break between today and tomorrow at Teahupoo, will not be as big as the code red but will probably produce the biggest waves of the year at the spot.

A good sign, says Surfline’s head forecaster Kevin Wallis, is that this is happening early, 15 days before the start, because the weather is usually not in the best interest of the venue after big events like this: “I’m glad this is happening so early in the month, as it will likely cause a slowdown in the southwest swell for an extended period. Hopefully this trend will be contained in the week or so leading up to the Olympic window, and no longer.”

That is to say, the pre-training will have small waves after this swell that will break in the next few days.

Another element that Wallis highlights is that conditions will generally be favourable with crosswinds and onshore (ESE), but with a low probability of glassy days.