What was decided on day 1 of the Tahiti Pro

And what remains to be defined; in certain sectors of the ranking, things are really hot.


Special coverage presented by Lineup.surf - Cover photo: WSL/Ryder 

Filipe Toledo would have been crowned WSL World Champion yesterday in Tahiti if the WSL Ω finals had not been invented. But with them, this only meant that the Brazilian will go to Lowers as the number one seed and face whoever reaches the grand final in a best-of-three duel.

By touching the water, John John Florence and Carissa Moore and by advancing a round, Tyler Wright confirmed that they will be in Paris 2024.

What remains to be defined:

-Carissa Moore, Tyler Wright, Caroline Marks and Molly Picklum have already qualified for the WSL finals. The remaining spot is being fought over by Caitlin Simmers and Steph Gilmore, according to calculations by the Brazilian platform AOS Midi. If Simmers goes through one more series, there will be no more dispute and it is decided that: Picklum qualifies for Paris 2024 and Simmers will fight in Lowers with Marks for the second American qualification to the Games.

-The fourth and fifth place in the WSL finals are being contested by: Chianca (who was already guaranteed if he passed his series), Dora, Medina, John John and Robinson.

Their scores:
4: Chumbo away with 42960
5: Yago with 36865
6: Medina with 35440
7: John John with 34290
8: Jack Robinson with 33950

The scenarios are as follows according to DUKE's calculations:

-Without depending on anyone, Yago is guaranteed if he wins the event or if he comes second and Medina is not the winner. If Yago comes second and John John wins the event, Yago goes to the WSL finals.

-If Yago places third in the event, Medina surpasses him by placing second or better and John John only wins.

-If Yago places fifth in the event, Medina and John John will need to place second or better.

-If Yago is ranked ninth, Medina and John John must be ranked third. Medina would tie with Yago if he is ranked fifth and there they would break the tie by number of series won in the year.

-If Yago loses in one, Medina surpasses him by passing one series and John John by passing two, that is, placing fifth.

Basically, Yago placing fifth will require Medina and John John to achieve a very strong result, at least reaching the final.

And, Chianca, with a loss of one, demands a victory from Medina and John John in Chopes (with John John remaining tied and breaking the tie with the number of series won in the year).

Chianca could also be left out of the finals if he loses one and Yago finishes second and Medina first. Also, if Medina finishes second and John John first, they would be exactly tied and the tiebreaker would be based on the number of series won in the year.

Finally, with a slight chance to spoil the party is Jack Robinson, who if he wins or places second and manages to make all of the aforementioned teams do from fifth to worse than fifth, has a chance of making the finals.

At the bottom of the order are Jordy Smith, Matthew McGillivray and Rio Waida (with Alan Cleland looking on from the outside). 

-If Jordy advances one more series, he qualifies through the CT and does not use his ISA place and Alan Cleland goes to Paris. Waida and McGillivray set up their own fight.

-Basically, Matthew guarantees himself if he places better than Rio and the Indonesian's only chance is to be two steps ahead of his opponent:

-If Matthew is ranked 17th, Rio has to be fifth
-If Matthew is ninth, Rio has to be third
-If Matthew is fifth, Rio has to be second
-If Matthew places third, Rio has to win the event
-Matthew doesn't depend on anyone if he reaches the grand final.