Definition of the Argentine title in red heat: These are the scenarios
Only five surfers have a chance to make it to the final stage: Facundo Arreyes, Mariano Arreyes, Santamaría, Rodríguez and Usuna. These last four depend on themselves.
The final stage of the Argentine surfing circuit is approaching, the classic La Paloma Open, which has just been announced to have extended its waiting period until May 30.
The battle for the Argentine title is at its height and is one of the tightest in recent years. Basically, despite Lele being the leader of the rankings, four surfers depend on themselves to win the title: Usuna himself, Marcelo Rodríguez, Lucas Santamaría and Mariano Arreyes.
There is a fifth competitor, Facundo Arreyes, who could only lift the cup if he wins and a combination of other results occurs.
Lele is the one in the best position because he made the necessary progress to place first and put pressure on the rest to achieve a strong result in the last round. No matter what, to have a chance, both Rodríguez and Santamaría, as well as Mariano Arreyes, must place third or better to have a chance to win.
Despite being fifth, Mariano Arreyes is the best of the runners-up to take the lead from Usuna because he did not compete in the first stage; he will add all the points he earns in La Paloma.
These are the possible scenarios that will define the title in Argentina:
-Only if Usuna wins can he guarantee his title without depending on anyone. The same thing happens to Arreyes, Santamaría and Rodríguez.
-If Usuna finishes second, Mariano Arreyes, Lucas Santamaría and Marcelo Rodríguez have a chance of overtaking him only by winning the stage. Facundo Arreyes would not finish in this scenario.
-If Usuna finishes third, Marcelo Rodríguez, Lucas Santamaría and Mariano Arreyes will surpass him by finishing second or better. If in this scenario any of these three reach the final and face each other, the winner will be the country's champion.
Meanwhile, Facundo Arreyes must win and hope that neither Lucas Santamaría nor his brother Mariano come second.
-If Usuna is placed fifth, his ranking score would not change, and in that case:
*Mariano Arreyes, Marcelo Rodríguez and Lucas Santamaría would surpass him if they placed third or better. From then on, the fight would be between them, and the winner would be the national champion.
*Facundo Arreyes has to win and hope that the other three contenders do not make it to the final.
Note: It is worth keeping in mind that in two scenarios a perfect tie could occur: With Usuna placing fifth and Rodríguez third, they would tie at 3070. We will have to see what the ASA considers; the tiebreaker criterion of the ISA Technical Director, Marcos Bukao, is that the last stage weighs more.
Another perfect tie would occur between brothers: If Facundo Arreyes wins the stage and his brother Mariano places third, they would tie with 3200 points. If the criteria above are applied, the champion (provided that the rest of the competitors do not place better) would be Facundo.
On the other hand, both Facundo Arreyes and Lele Usuna are registered for the Iquique QS which begins on May 21. With the waiting period for the La Paloma event extended until May 30, it could happen that one of the competitors does not make it on that date. Usuna could even celebrate from the north of Chile.
If he surfs like this, Mariano Arreyes will make life difficult for the rest of the contenders:
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